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May 27th, 2019

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The winners of globalization will now fight it out in the political sphere

(written by lawrence krubner, however indented passages are often quotes). You can contact lawrence at: lawrence@krubner.com, or follow me on Twitter.

Interesting:

First it was the left, now it’s the turn of the right to fade from the French political landscape. We have a new faultline: one that separates “progressives” from “populists”. This realignment is no accident, but the result of the political world catching up with real changes in society. The traditional left-right divide is giving way to one that reflects a fundamental class conflict that will define the west in the 21st century: the working classes whose livelihoods have been hollowed out by globalisation pitted against those socioeconomic groups who have benefited from it.

This shift we are witnessing in Europe is the consequence of workers at both ends of the economic spectrum cutting loose from their traditional political affiliations.

Both the far right Rassemblement National (RN, formerly the Front National), and Macron’s Republique En Marche (LREM) can now claim distinct electoral bases that are neither right nor left but a coherent reflection of sociological and geographic changes. As in the French presidential elections, the working classes, the people who inhabit “peripheral” France, the small towns, deindustrialised regions and rural areas, voted for “populists”, while globalisation’s “winners” and people living in the big French metropolitan areas backed “progressives”. If the far right managed to bring together groups that were previously politically opposed (workers, employees, self-employed, small farmers), Macron also achieved an unlikely alliance of hipsters and the traditional bourgeoisie.

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"I wish I could go back," said Anna. "I guess I thought it would always be there, and I could go back and learn more when I was older. But now I'm older and it's gone."

"All the great art scenes are like that," said Mariah. "Renoir's career was half over before the term Impressionism caught on. And Fitzgerald and Hemingway had given up on the Left Bank long before the place was overrun by talentless hacks who wanted to imitate the Lost Generation lifestyle. And the Beats had mostly left San Francisco before busloads of visitors started to do tours of the Haight-Ashbury. When Johnny Rotten couldn't work with the Sex Pistols anymore, he left and the London punk scene began to die. Later on, he said he regretted his decision to leave. Everyone thinks they can go away and come back later, but they never can. When Joan Didion and her husband left New York, she quipped that some other couples were staying too late at the party, but that gets it all backward. The party ends whether you want it to or not, and it takes an unusual arrogance to celebrate the end of an era that some people will remember as the best years of their life. Hemingway lived in Paris during his twenties, but he didn't write about his experience in Paris until he was in his sixties. No one ever knows they're part of an art movement; it's something you only see afterward."

"But if we only see it in retrospect, then how can we find the next great art scene?" asked Anna. "What do I look for?"




Also read this true story about a startup I worked at in 2015:




RECENT COMMENTS

1 COMMENT

June 1, 2019
11:26 am

By Chris

That explains exactly what happened here in the Australian election. The polls were drastically wrong. This explains why that may have been the case.

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